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What is the Risk Radar?

The standing list of named risks the brief is carrying, each with an impact, a probability, a direction of travel, and a written reason it matters.

Publishedsince 14 Aug

46mornings held

1revision, all readable

1edition behind it

The desk’s reading

A risk earns a place on the radar by being able to change the read, not by being alarming. Each one carries an impact and a probability in graded words rather than invented precision, plus a trend — rising, stable or falling — and a paragraph explaining the mechanism.

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The radar deliberately includes risks that would make the brief's framing irrelevant rather than wrong. The long-end risk is the standing example: a disorderly move in long rates would re-rate equities through the discount rate with no Gulf input at all.

Graded words are not converted into percentages anywhere, including by machine readers. Where a number exists it comes from a probability band and is quoted as such.

Signed by the deskPublished 14 August 2026 · revision 1 · Intelligence, not advice

Next questions

How should I read impact, probability and trend on an Antevo risk?Why is the long bond near multi-decade highs while equity volatility sits at the bottom of its range?5.660%

Not answered here: what this means for your holdings.That question is answered inside Antevo Wealth, against an actual book.

The record behind this answer — 1 edition, 1 revisionAll editions

14 Aug 2026Thursday settled firm and settled narrow

For your assistantThe same answer as structured fields — MCP, JSON-LD

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or read antevo.ch/ask/positions.json · antevo.ch/mcp